Thursday, June 19, 2008

June 19 market commentary and technical levels

Thu, 19th of June, 2008
By Setyo Wibowo

EURUSD Outlook
Yesterday I said that EURUSD need to make a break out of 1.5450-1.5550 ranging area to give us a clearer direction. The EURUSD moved in a choppy market (as I had expected), topped at 1.5538 and bottomed at 1.5462. Today in early Asian market, the pair made a break out upside and (temporarily) topped at 1.5579. My model goes long, targeting the key level 1.5650. Immediate support is seen at 1.5520. CCI already in overbought area on hourly and 4h chart, so watch out for minor downside risk. Only use a tight money management at this phase. Wait confirmation on indicators/oscillators to find long position.

EURUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.5480
  • S2= 1.5433
  • S3= 1.5404
  • R1= 1.5556
  • R2= 1.5585
  • R3= 1.5632

GBPUSD Outlook
Yesterday further downside movement of GBPUSD was rejected. Early today in Asian market the pair is traded above my initial resistance at 1.9580. My model goes long, targeting 1.9700. Former resistance 1.9580 now become immediate support. CCI in neutral area on daily chart.

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.9506
  • S2= 1.9425
  • S3= 1.9373
  • R1= 1.9639
  • R2= 1.9691
  • R3= 1.9772

USDJPY Outlook
The USDJPY has been in consolidation of bullish scenario in last 2 days. My model goes short targeting 107.00 as CCI just cross 100 line down on daily chart and the pair is making a new bearish channel on hourly chart. Immediate resistance is seen at 108.05. Only use a tight money management at this phase.

USDJPY Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 107.55
  • S2= 107.27
  • S3= 106.84
  • R1= 108.26
  • R2= 108.69
  • R3= 108.97

USDCHF Outlook
The Swiss Franc continued traded stronger against Greenback yesterday. We have a valid bearish channel of USDCHF on hourly chart. My model is short, targeting 1.0260. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.0375. CCI heading down towards -100 line on daily chart.

USDCHF Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.0325
  • S2= 1.0284
  • S3= 1.0213
  • R1= 1.0437
  • R2= 1.0508
  • R3= 1.0549

Have a great day!

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